🏆 March Showdown: Pig Spleen vs. Supercomputer

March in Southwest Saskatchewan delivered the full prairie sampler: warm spells, sharp cold snaps, surprise moisture, and a general refusal to commit to spring. Perfect conditions for another round of our friendly forecasting rivalry between the Tompkins Pig Spleen Forecast and Environment Canada’s Supercomputer‑powered seasonal outlook.

Here’s how we score each month in the Pig Spleen vs. Supercomputer rivalry:

How the Scoring Works

• Each forecast earns 1 point for each correct prediction in its own category

• If one forecast has more prediction areas, those extra areas become swing points:

• If the extra prediction is right, they keep the point.

• If the extra prediction is wrong, the point goes to the other forecast.

• If both are partly right → Draw.

🖥️ The Supercomputer (Environment Canada)

Prediction Areas:

• Seasonal Trend: A slow, uneven transition into spring

• Variability: Continued swings between warm and cold

What Happened:

• March behaved exactly like a slow transition month.

• Variability was high throughout, with freeze–thaw cycles and shifting patterns.

Supercomputer Score: 2 points

🐷 The Pig Spleen

Jeff Woodward’s 2026 Pig Spleen Forecast offered specific March dates for precipitation and instability.

Prediction Areas:

• Volatility

• March 2 precipitation event

• March 10 precipitation event

• Late‑month activity near March 25

What Happened:

• Volatility: March delivered repeated warm/cold swings.

• March 2: Snow and mixed precipitation arrived.

• March 10: Heavy snow and mixed precipitation hit during a messy mid‑month system.

• Near March 25: A clear return to winter with snow and cold snaps.

Pig Spleen Score: 4 points

(All four prediction areas were correct.)

Swing‑Point Check:

The Spleen had two extra prediction areas.

Both were correct → the Spleen keeps both points.

🏁 Final Score for March

Pig Spleen: 4

Supercomputer: 2

Winner: Pig Spleen

All scoring is based on March 2026 weather recorded at the Swift Current Airport.

📈 Running Score (Jan–Mar)

• Pig Spleen: 3

• Weather Supercomputer: 1

• Draws: 1

🌾 Prairie Takeaway

Environment Canada captured the big picture.

The Pig Spleen nailed the timing.

March tried to freeze us and warm us in the same week—and the Spleen read that rhythm just a little closer this round.

Gull Lake Events

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